< img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=2433975083660159&ev=PageView&noscript=1" />

Polyethylene PE: Brent broke through 88, three major coal companies made linear increases in factory delivery, and cost drivers were strong at the beginning of the month.

83,392
April 2, 2024, 3:57 PM

Intra-day focus: Brent crude oil broke through 88 US dollars per barrel, the highest level since October 2023. Intra-day rise of 0.54% WTI crude oil hit 84 US dollars per barrel, up 0.54%. (Asian session on April 2)

Sinopec inventory: two-oil polyolefin inventory of 800000 tons, down 40, 000 tons from yesterday.

Shenhua auction statistics: the linear auction volume today is 1150 tons, today's turnover is 965 tons, the auction turnover rate is 83.91%, down 7% from yesterday's 90.91%.

Brand number

Library point

Bidding quantity

Trading volume

Starting unit price

Transaction interval

Transaction rate

7042

Baotou Coal Chemical Warehouse

100

100

8150

8280-8300

100.00%

7042

Access source

300

300

8200

8260-8270

100.00%

7042

Wuhan Wuhan Iron Depot of Ningxia Coal Mine

300

173

8150

8150

57.67%

7042

Ningming Coal Zhejiang Jianfeng Reservoir

50

0

8290

-

0.00%

7042

Ningxia Coal Qingzhou domestic and Foreign Transportation Depot

300

300

8180

8180-8190

100.00%

7050-Baotou

Access to the source library

100

92

8200

8200

92.00%

Total linetype

1150

965

 

 

83.91%

PE spot market analysis: today, China's PE market is strong and rising, with various varieties rising from 30 to 100 yuan / ton, which is slower than yesterday. Price: China's linear mainstream prices range from 8160 yuan to 8500 yuan per ton, high pressure prices range from 9150 yuan to 9500 yuan per ton, low pressure membrane prices range from 8150 yuan to 8500 yuan per ton, and low pressure wire drawing ranges from 8150 yuan to 8700 yuan per ton. Although today's futures market once exceeded 8300, but the bulls did not push up enough, the intraday interval was consolidated, and the daily trading was once down, suppressing the atmosphere in the market. Petrochemical, there are still some adjustments, coal companies linear coal Baofeng Pucheng raised 10-40 yuan / ton, the cost support is strong. Traders wait and see mainly shipments, linear more to maintain yesterday's offer, some make up, high and low pressure due to some petrochemical adjustments at the beginning of the month, the offer followed higher. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, although close to the Qingming Festival holiday, but the market does not see obvious stock preparation behavior, the terminal enters the market according to its own rhythm to purchase mainly, slightly higher prices take goods cautiously, intraday trading performance is general.

 

PE spot trend forecast: raw materials: crude oil disk further refresh stage new high, oil distribution disk into the 86-90 dollar area. The center of gravity of the raw material moves upward, which drives the production cost of polypropylene higher. Petrochemical policy: the current petrochemical continues to go to the warehouse, at the beginning of the month, the performance of the two cities is still good, the major regions are still up-regulated, and the supply cost is strongly supported. On the supply side: Lianyungang Petrochemical, Jiutai, Zhongke Refining and Chemical Co., Hainan Refining and Chemical Co., Ltd., Zhejiang Petrochemical Co., Ltd. stopped one after another until April and May, recently continued to add Zhongyuan Petrochemical, Maoming Petrochemical and other equipment parking maintenance, the market supply continues to shrink. In terms of demand, the overall downstream demand is relatively stable, and the overall variable is small. Under the comprehensive influence, the PE market is expected to remain volatile at the beginning of the month, paying attention to the trend of the market and spot transactions.

 

 

Mainstream quotation in PE market: yuan / ton

Variety

Region

April 1st

April 2nd

Rise and fall

Linear

North China

8230-8300

8230-8300

0/0

East China

8160-8250

8160-8300

0/50

South China

8250-8500

8250-8500

0/0

High pressure film

North China

9120-9130

9150-9170

30/40

East China

9100-9350

9150-9450

50/100

South China

9280-9500

9280-9500

0/0

Low pressure film

North China

8120-8430

8150-8430

30/0

East China

8250-8500

8350-8550

100/50

South China

8250-8450

8250-8450

0/0

Low pressure wire drawing

North China

8120-8550

8150-8550

30/0

East China

8400-8650

8400-8650

0/0

South China

8500-8700

8500-8700

0/0

 

PE futures analysis: April 2 L2405 opening price: 8275, highest price: 8301, lowest price: 8255, position: 228414 hands, settlement price: 8278, yesterday settlement: 8262, up: 16, daily trading volume: 209016 lots.

 

China PE Index: according to Tudor data, on April 2, China's LLDPE spot index rose 8, or 0.10%, to 9283, up 36, or 0.39%. The LLDPE spot index rose 18, or 0.21%, to 8428.