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Methanol: Futures market volatility is weak and the market transaction atmosphere is general

86,953
September 22, 2023, 4:30 PM

On September 22nd, the methanol market price index was 2327.27, down 5.68 from yesterday, down 0.24% from the previous month.

 

Outer disk dynamics:

Methanol closed on September 21:

China CFR 286-294 US dollars / ton, down 4 US dollars / ton

European FOB 250.5-251.5 euros / ton, up 2 euros / ton

Us FOB 76-78 cents per gallon, up 1 cent per gallon

Southeast Asia CFR 347.5-348.5 US dollars / ton, down 2 US dollars / ton.

Summary of today's prices:

Guanzhong: 2270-2300 (0), North Route:  2100-2210 (0), Lunan:  2460 (0), Henan:  2350-2370 (- 20), Shanxi: 2280-2330 (- 10), Port:  2525-2555 (- 30)

Freight:

North Route-North Shandong 210-2320 (0ax 10), South Line-North Shandong 280,340,100,160 (0ax 0), Shanxi-North Shandong 100,160 (0max 0), Guanzhong-Southwest Shandong 160210 (0max 0)

 

Spot market: today, the methanol market is narrowly down, the spot price is reduced by 10-30 yuan / ton, the volatility of the futures market is weak, the price in some parts of the Chinese market is lowered, the plant failure in some areas is about to stop, and the supply side fluctuates. Downstream continues to replenish stock with rigid demand under high inventory, and the overall transaction atmosphere is general. Quotations in other regions of China have also been adjusted to varying degrees.

 

Port market: methanol futures are low today. Spot rigid demand negotiations; forward arbitrage and exchange shipments, unilateral bargain-hunting, forward basis is slightly stronger. The overall transaction throughout the day is not bad. Taicang main port transaction price: 9 lower transaction price: 2520-2535, base difference 01-14 prime color 17 position 10 above transaction: 2540-2550, base difference 01 / 10 prime price 5 / 10 transaction price: 2560-2570, base difference 01 / 23 shock 25.

Area

2023/9/22

2023/9/21

Rise and fall

The whole country

2327.27

2332.95

-5.68

Northwest

2100-2300

2100-2300

0/0

North China

2280-2450

2290-2450

-10/0

East China

2525-2630

2555-2650

-30/-20

South China

2480-2600

2500-2630

-20/-30

Southwest

2380-2560

2380-2560

0/0

Northeast China

2350-2500

2350-2500

0/0

Shandong

2410-2480

2430-2500

-20/-20

Central China

2350-2650

2370-2650

-20/0

 

The start-up of the olefin industry continues to be high, Anhui Huayi plans to restart, Lihuayi plant is about to produce products, acetic acid and MTBE demand may increase, but the downstream is still dominated by rigid demand replenishment under high inventory, and later we need to pay attention to the load changes of downstream devices and downstream profit repair.


Recent operation of the device:

Name of production enterprise

Annual capacity; ten thousand tons

Raw material

Starting date of maintenance

Maintenance end date

Operation of the device

Inner Mongolia Boyuan

15

Natural gas

2023/9/2

2023/9/18

In load reduction production

Yantai Wanhua

67

Coal

2023/8/18

2023/9/18

Stable operation

Shandong Prosperity

17

Coke oven gas

2023/9/6

2023/9/18

Stable operation

Linquan, Anhui Province

50

Coal

2023/9/12

2023/9/19

Already started.

Tianze, Shanxi

10

Coal

2023/9/17

2023/9/20

Stable operation

Shanghai Huayi Anhui

60

Coal

2023/8/25

2023/9/20

Already started.

Shanxi Xiaoyi Pengfei

30

Coke oven gas

2023/8/29

2023/9/22

Parking maintenance

Ningxia Heming

30

Coal

2023/8/26

2023/9/21

Restarted

Shenglong Chemical Industry

15

Coke oven gas

2023/9/18

2023/9/22

Rebooting

Xinjiang new industry

50

Coal

2023/9/22

2023/9/30

Temporary Parking

The first phase of New Olympic Games

60

Coal

2023/9/22

2023/9/25

Fault impending stop