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PVC: All trends in futures prices closed beautifully, the late futures prices broke through, and the spot was mainly sorted out in a narrow range

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July 12, 2023, 4:31 PM

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PVCA é °è 'e / e / s / s:é é éPVC市场主流成交价格窄幅整理,现货整体变动不大。估价对比来看:其中华北地区、华东地区稳定,华南地区上涨10元/吨,东北地区稳定,华中地区上涨20元/吨,西南地区上涨50元/吨。上游PVC生产企业出厂报价存在补涨上调20-50元/吨的行为,个别乙烯法企业价格上调100元/吨。期价全天小范围震荡波动,导致现货市场商家报价调整较小,贸易商一口价报盘为主,报价较昨日变化不大,部分实单成交有小幅商谈。基差报盘差别较大,其中华东地区基差报盘09合约-(150-220),华南地区09合约-(100-170)个别听闻200基差,北方地区09合约-(450-550),西南地区09合约-(280-320)。整体来看窄幅调整的现货市场,下游目前的采购积极性不佳,观望意向较强,现货市场交投气氛偏淡,尾盘的期价上涨引发了部分封盘。

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°é è 'conductor é é °conductorPVC09合约全天走势相对窄幅,但尾盘的拉升继续突破刷新前高,期价二次破轨上涨,技术层面显示布林带(13、13、2)三轨开口发散,尾盘期价的抬升使得各趋势线收线漂亮,其中MA组合(5、10、20、40、60、0)蜡烛图收于所有线上方,日线级别以及周线级别的的DK、ACD均呈现金叉趋势。虽然基本面目前变量不多,对价格的影响以及引导不足,但整体的商品情绪偏强的情况下,PVC主力合约仍旧呈现了较好的运行趋势,短期来看我们维持前期的判断可对6字头有所期待,但期价或继续呈现缓慢刷新的趋势。

A °é è 'recent recent host é host é í í í éNo matter when we become more exhausted, all of these are our friends. All of our friends will believe in all our interests. All of our friends will say that all our friends will believe in all our interests. All of us are all our friends, and these are our interests.PVC期现的走势与整体的文化指数类似,且政策若有新方向出台必定会通过整体的商品情绪进行传导,另外作为空头控盘的主力09合约如何离场也逐渐提上日程,因此对于第三季度仍旧存在一定的期待。外盘方面国际油价上涨,因美元疲软,国际能源署(IEA)预期发展中国家的石油需求增加,以及沙特和俄罗斯实施减产,金融市场,美国三大股指延续了缓慢而稳定的上涨势头。整体来看短期之内的现货市场价格仍会高位运行为主。

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