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PVC: Futures hit a red Friday, futures prices broke through previous highs, and spot prices rose across the board

115,052
July 7, 2023, 4:35 PM

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PVCA é °è 'e / e / s / s:é é éPVC市场主流成交价格继续小幅上涨,难得久违的周内呈现小上行。估价对比来看:其中华北地区上涨50元/吨,华东地区上涨70-100元/吨,华南地区上涨60-100元/吨,东北地区上涨50元/吨,华中地区上涨30-50元/吨,西南地区上涨50元/吨。上游PVC生产企业出厂报价上调30-50元/吨,生产企业报价跟进,但仍有部分企业稳价观望。期货上行后,贸易商报价心态恢复,一口价报盘部分较昨日有所上调,但期价上行后点价货源优势消失。点价基差有所调整,其中华东地区基差报盘09合约-(150-220),华南地区09合约-(100-170),北方地区09合约-(450-550),西南地区09合约-(280-300),乙烯法报盘同样小幅上调。期现两市价格走强后,现货市场成交有所好转,询盘积极性略有增加,但实单需求相对谨慎。

These electronic products, these electronic products, now, let'sAll of this is about all our rights, including all of the following aspects: PVC 2309 0.000 °o é é é t ban all of our products, all of these should be all of our products, and all of our products, we won't have that much anymore, all of these are all our things.

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°é è 'conductor é é °conductorPVC09合约走势出现了突破前高的表现,近期几个关键性的节点5854-5886-5890。期价的高位横盘自低点5596开始已经长达半个月时间,高位横盘且今日周五收高后,技术层面显示出现一定的偏好趋势,布林带(13、13、2)开口打开,上轨转向上明显,日线级别的KD线以及MACD呈现金叉,且周线在高位横盘的状态下也呈现了隐约的金叉趋势。期价运行结束十字星趋势,周五虽有高点突破但上轨压力位仍旧呈现一定的奏效,盘面出现一定的空开介入。我们认为短期之内期价的运行仍会介于中上轨5790-5880之间,但高点或有进一步突破的迹象。

A °é è 'recent recent host é host é í í í é正如标题所言,期货惊现红色星期五期价突破前高,现货市场价格也出现了久违的上涨表现,一方面价格的上行引发了成交的略有好转,尤其北方地区,贸易商反馈出货速度加快,但华东华南地区反馈,因前期套保单基差亏损,出货仍显不佳。下游目前的跟进速度并不同步,区域之间出现一定的分化。我们在前期的预测中也提到过,在持续偏弱长久的下跌行情中,期现两市价格或存在筑底之意,虽然基本面变量不多仍旧无法支撑出现较大的行情反转,但同样也不会出现深度下跌,第三季度存在一定的预期心理。外盘方面油价基本持稳,因市场在原油供应紧缩与美联储加息可能性提高间进行权衡。市场一直预计美国和欧洲央行将进一步加息,以应对顽固的通胀。最近的调查显示,中国、欧洲以及美国的工厂和服务行业活动放缓,这令全球经济衰退状况恶化。整体来看短期之内的现货市场价格继续相对高位窄幅运行。

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