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PVC: The upper part of the futures price operation encountered a pressure level, the market opened open and increased positions, and the spot price partially weakened

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July 3, 2023, 4:43 PM


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PVCA é °è 'e / e / s / s:é é éPVC市场主流成交价格窄幅整理,部分地区小幅下跌。估价对比来看:其中华北地区下跌10-20元/吨,华东地区低端价格下跌30,高端价格上涨20元/吨,华南地区下跌20-40元/吨,东北地区稳定,华中地区上涨10元/吨,西南地区稳定。上游PVC生产企业出厂报价多数维持稳定为主,个别企业下调30元/吨以促进成交。期货走势先强后弱,因此各地区贸易商一口价报盘存在阴跌趋势,偏高报盘几无成交。现货市场一口价与点价并存,其中华东地区基差报盘09合约-(150-180),华南地区09合约-(100-120),北方地区09合约-(400-530),西南地区09合约-(260-280)。整体来看现货市场不论是一口价还是点价方面,询盘积极性均较弱,虽然期价回落后点价货源优势略增,但无奈并没有较大的对比优势,下游心态谨慎接货意向较低。

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°é è 'conductor é é °conductorPVC09合约走势高点对比上周五出现进一步的突破,但并未破前高5886,技术层面显示布林带(13、13、2)上轨存转向下之意,三轨开口收窄,期价在逼近上轨位置时压力位奏效。盘面出现增仓且空开24.9%对比多开22.7%略胜一筹,但其中空平也相应增多。PVC目前基本面变量不多,对期价的走势难以形成引导性趋势。但随着时间的推移,在进入7月份后,移仓换月开始逐渐提升日程,目前09合约的持仓量仍旧较大。整体来看短期之内我们认为期价的运行仍会继续在中上轨5770-5880之间的范围内。

A °é è 'recent recent host é host é í í í éAll the contents of all of our products are like this: all our rights are prior to this, and all of us are all our interests, including all the interests of all these products, and all the interests of all these products, including all the content of all these products, including all these products, including all the interests of all these products, including all the content of all these products, including all these products, including all these products.PVC产量的环比同比下降仍在一定程度上缓解了供应的压力。另一方面,3季度往往是旺季的呈现,因此期现两市不可过分看低。另外随着时间推移对于高持仓量的09合约如何移仓换月,也应是需要警惕的方面。以空头为主的09合约空头的离场虽然不能判定为向好,但一定程度上可以缓解向下的压力。但整体来看商品情绪的持续上涨缺乏足够的支撑,更多的寄希望于宏观层面的政策提振。因此短期之内的现货市场或继续窄幅运行为主。

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