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PVC: Futures price funds are the main competition, with small fluctuations and large increases in positions, and the spot market is still weak.

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May 24, 2023, 4:19 PM


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°é è 'conductor é é °conductorPVC09合约期价的波动幅度较小,但隐约有兵家必争之地的意思,该低位运行的小幅区间内增仓俞3万多手,其中空开26.9%多开23.5%。对于近期大宗商品的再次走弱,多数商品均在考虑前低以及抄底问题。但对于目前的PVC来看,低位的运行并未引发较好的现货交投趋势,因此缺乏基本面的支撑情况下期价短线之内难有很好的表现。但期价近期低位横盘的态势在目前的仓量下,继续向下所要付出的仓位代价也越大。技术层面显示布林带(13、13、2)三轨上轨开口转上,短线的期价运行观察5600支撑的表现。

A °é è 'recent recent host é host é í í í éAbout the process between each other of the √√ host host √, all of us are better because of us now.PVC的弱势成为产业链的共识,不论是期货盘面还是现货层面,且产业链的上、中、下游基本均持偏空的态度。在前期的预测中我们也提到过,随着时间的推移,现货市场即将迎来6月份的情况下,期现两市仍旧未见好转,低位徘徊的行情不仅仅磋磨掉PVC两市价格的年度高点,并且延长了整体产业链的产品运行周期,更加倾向于考虑一个新的运行长周期的开始。原油方面国际油价继续上涨,因为预计汽油需求增加和供应收紧。此外,沙特能源大臣对投机者发出的警告提升了OPEC+进一步减产的前景,这也帮助提振了石油市场面。原油的提振对于聚烯烃更明显,因此整体来看短期之内的PVC仍旧缺乏足够的支撑,现货价格低位整理的趋势不变。

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