FDD-global 2023-04-05中国PVC，PVC产品市场报价和指数数据

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PVCA é °è 'e / e / s / s:é é éPVC市场主流成交价格部分区间整理，现货的调整较为灵活。估价对比来看：其中华北地区下跌50元/吨，华东地区下跌50元/吨，华南地区低端价格下跌10元/吨，东北地区下跌50元/吨，华中地区下跌50元/吨，西南地区下跌50元/吨。首先上游PVC生产企业出厂报价部分下调20-50元/吨，包含异地库报价华东华南地区均同步下行。期货盘面窄幅运行，期价的走势对目前现货市场的价格指引不强，相对波动范围较小。各地区贸易商部分一口价报盘整体较昨日略有下调，虽然一口价和点价并存，但基差的优势也不大。其中华东地区基差报盘09合约-（50-100），华南地区09合约-（0-50），北方地区09合约-（380-400），西南地区09合约-（150）。目前的两种方式的成交未见明显的好转，仍以不温不火的状态进行，且下游制品企业询盘积极性不高。

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°é è 'conductor é é °conductorPVC09合约期价的窄幅波动范围较小，虽然整体的成交仍旧继续了空开多空平多的趋势，散户空单轮番进场，但持仓增加变化小的前提下，期价的波动也相对窄幅。整体期价的涨跌趋势不明，技术层面布林带（13、13、2）上轨向下仍旧明显，但下轨的平向以及中轨的趋缓也是源自近期的低位窄幅整理的结果。期现两市偏弱的格局已定，现在的点位下继续向下同样需要新的压制动力以及大量仓位进场，但目前点位下空平的获利了结也在一定程度上预示着下方空间存在一定的风险。短线的运行范围继续观察中下轨之间5760-5930范围的表现。

A °é è 'recent recent host é host é í í í éNow all our time will become more important, because all our time is like this, so I won't do it again.2023年之后表现不佳，这也导致了地产板块的代表性产品PVC期现两市持续偏弱，并且基本面的高库存叠加了需求的欠佳以及房地产方面的因素使得PVC期货盘面一直被空头压制，当然中国大宗商品整体走势也有一部分的影响，大宗商品整体下滑的行情中PVC难以走出单独的行情。因此期现两市弱势的格局成为整体产业链的共识，甚至部分商家认为期现两市的低点更低。我们在前期在预测中也提到过，在目前的时间节点下，短中线的高点被持续压制将会导致全年的高点被扼杀，PVC的买气不足以及偏弱的运行彻底扭转了买涨氛围。外盘方面国际油价下跌，因为中国和美国的经济数据弱于预期，抵消了国际能源署（IEA）上调全球石油需求增加预期的影响。整体来看短期之内低位徘徊整理的格局延续。

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